Author Archives: jadetrillium

Are Long Haul truckers obsolete?

 

According to the US government trucks moved 9.2 Billion tons of freight in 2011 (http://selectusa.commerce.gov/industry-snapshots/logistics-and-transportation-industry-united-states).  This represented 67 % of all freight moved in the US.  According to Transport Canada, in 2011 Long Haul trucking posted almost double the revenue for long haul versus short haul trucking.  Bottom line – Long Haul Trucking is important and a huge part of our economy.  But the trucking industry has a problem.  There is a severe shortage of drivers and it is worse for long haul trucking.  In an article by CTV and the Canadian Trucking Alliance (Feb 21, 2013) there will be a shortage of more than 30,000 drivers by 2020.

There are many reasons for this shortage (poor pay, poor job conditions, training requirements, etc.) but the real question is – given the importance of transportation to the economy and our life style, what can the industry do to resolve this problem?  As in so many other industries, if people are not an option (safety, availability, cost…) is there a technological solution?  I would suggest there is and that this technology exists today.  As examples think about:

  • The drone aircraft technology currently being deployed by the military and Search & Rescue groups.
  • The radars and controls that are currently being introduced by car companies (collision avoidance, auto-park…).
  • The GPS systems now available that analyse the speed of vehicles on-line to identify slow areas and suggest alternative routes.

Now what happens if we combine these technologies with a standard tractor trailer, videos and computers?  Would it be possible to have a “driver” sitting in a central office, “driving” a truck on the road that is driving itself, just like they fly drones?  If the driver gets tired, needs a break, lunch or even at the end of a shift, a different driver can take over and the truck keeps moving, thereby decreasing downtime and shortening transit time.  As the technology gets better it would even be possible for the “driver” to monitor multiple trucks on the road.  The lighter the traffic or conditions the more trucks that could be monitored by one person.  In addition to the reduced requirements for long haul drivers (in essence they all become short haul) there would be reduced cost due to fewer hotels, less food, shorter transit time (lead time), better utilization of equipment and many other possible cost savings.

Obviously there are some potential downsides to this plan, the largest being acceptance by government and other drivers on the road.  (It might be kind of scary to look up and see a truck coming up behind you with no driver visible.)  Certainly, using drone trucks in an urban environment will be problematic for quite a while yet but the drones could be used between cities and the trailers switched to people driven cabs at terminals close to the destination.  A bigger problem would be the overcrowding and infrastructure problems currently showing up in our road systems but that would be a good topic for a different post.  The point of this post is not to introduce this concept tomorrow but to get people thinking and talking about alternatives.  This one would maintain the speed and efficiency of the trucking industry, help reduce costs and help resolve the issue of a potential trucker shortage.

So, in answer to the original question – Are long haul truckers obsolete?  Certainly not in the short term but if the driver shortage, infrastructure and other issues are not resolved then companies will need to find better ways to move their material.  For the trucking industry to survive and grow, they need to find new and innovative ways to move that material quickly and cost effectively.

Having issues with your inventory?

Do you understand how logistics affects your inventory levels?  Do you need help understanding and getting control of your inventory?  Contact Ed White at Jade Trillium Consulting to discuss whether we can help your organization and how best to proceed.

Inventory Drivers – Constraints

Inventory driverAccording to the Theory of Constraints a constraint is anything that prevents a process from achieving its goal.  Actually there are usually multiple constraints but the one that has the strongest effect is the one concentrated on.  To use TOC jargon, that main constraint or bottleneck sets the drum beat (or speed) that the process can run.  By using different tools (such as the TOC Thinking Process or Value Stream Maps) each process can be analysed to identify these constraints or bottlenecks.  Once the biggest constraint has been identified, the constraint is improved and then the process repeated to identify the next biggest constraint and improve it.  As you can tell the cardinal rule in TOC is to concentrate on the main constraint for any process as changes to minor constraints will not affect the overall process (the overall process cannot produce product any faster than the speed of the drumbeat constraint).Inventory Driver Constraints

So how do constraints drive inventory levels?  As an example, one of the critical rules of TOC is to never let the bottleneck operation stop.  Any time lost at the bottleneck cannot be made up whereas any lost time in a non-bottleneck operation can be.  This rule causes organizations to set up a stocking point immediately prior to each bottleneck so that even if there is a supply problem the operation will not be shut down.  This, of course, increases overall inventory levels and in far too many cases, even if the bottleneck is improved the stocking point is not removed.  In effect, this locks in the higher inventory levels even though they are not needed anymore.  But wouldn’t removing these stocking points automatically be part of the improvement process?  It should be except that human nature tends to push against it.  In the initial improvement, the inclination is to not touch the stocking point until the improvement has been proved effective (just in case).  By the time it is proven effective most people have moved on to the next problem and removing the stocking point just gets forgotten.  If asked why inventory is so high people tend to reply that the amount is stock is what the computer is calling for and therefore must be the correct amount.  In order to remove the inventory you need to change the routings and production plans to remove the stocking point.

So what are some of the other possible constraints that can affect inventory levels?  While not meant to be an exhaustive list or in any specific order, here are some other constraints that are commonly found in many organizations:

  •  Warehouse space
  • Shipping / receiving docks
  • Logistics
  • Total inventory value
  • Forecast accuracy
  • Lead time
  • Government regulations
  • Equipment
  • Equipment breakdown
  • People
  • Process flow
  • Reporting systems
  • Production plan
  • Crisis Management (Hurricanes, earthquakes, blizzards…)
  • KPIs

As you may have noticed I have talked about many of these as specific Inventory Drivers in previous posts.  And what makes each of these factors a constraint?  Every one of them restricts the smooth flow of product through your organizational processes, creating problems in your value stream.  This is the exact same effect that potholes and bumps would have on the road.  Every time your car hits a pothole or a bump in slows down the car and potentially “breaks” the process.  You can try driving around them but that slows down the journey and probably isn’t terribly effective any way.  So what can we do?  Someone needs to smooth out the bumps and fill in the potholes to give a nice smooth surface to drive on.  The equivalent smoothing process in most organizations is to add more inventory until the problems are buried and the process can be speeded up.  From an inventory management point of view this is NOT an effective response to the problem.  Any or all of these, and many others, may affect your organizational flow until your inventory management becomes effectively uncontrollable.  The trick is to identify them and the effect they are having on your inventory.  Only at that point can you effectively control these drivers and your inventory levels (remove the rocks).

Having issues with your inventory?

Do you understand what Drivers are biasing your inventory levels to move up or down?  Do you need help understanding and getting control of your inventory?  Contact Ed White at Jade Trillium Consulting to discuss whether we can help your organization and how best to proceed.

Enjoy thinking about Constraints and other Inventory Drivers.  Talk to your friends and co-workers about their experience and thoughts on these topics, especially what it means for your organization.   And, as always, I would love to hear back on your (and their) thoughts.  Just fill in the comment box below along with your contact information to let me know what you think.flag